Kimi Antonelli's 2026 Singapore Grand Prix price rises from 15¢ to 23.5¢
The Kalshi contract on Antonelli winning the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix moved 8.5¢ between 6 October at 20:19 UTC and 8 October at 01:07 UTC.
On Kalshi, the contract on Kimi Antonelli winning the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix rose from 15¢ to 23.5¢ between 6 October at 20:19 UTC and 8 October at 01:07 UTC, a move of 8.5¢. At the latest observation it was the second-highest price in the field.
Both prices are mid-market quotes read and stored by the PropSports markets lane. The first is the earliest reading our lane holds for this contract, which is not necessarily the moment the market opened. Qualifying is on 10 October 2026 and the race on 11 October 2026.
The rest of the field
At the same reading the other leading contracts were Max Verstappen at 30.5¢, Lewis Hamilton at 14¢, Charles Leclerc at 11.5¢ and Lando Norris at 11¢. Each price is what the market charged for a contract that pays out only if that driver wins the main race; it moves with trading on the venue.
A market price is not a PropBetEdge pick and not a forecast from our models. The desk writes a market story only when a contract moves by at least 8¢ across at least 24 hours of our own readings; reporting the move carries no view on the result.
What our data says
In the five races before this one, Antonelli scored 101 points with two wins and four podiums, finishing P2, P1, P1, P5, P2. Antonelli goes into the round leading the drivers' championship on 320 points, 84 points clear of George Russell. Including this one, 7 rounds remain, worth up to 183 points to any one driver. The Kimi Antonelli profile carries Driver DNA and career results, and the Mercedes page the car and Constructor DNA.
The circuit's record
In our archive Marina Bay Circuit had hosted 16 previous Grands Prix. Of the classified editions, 11 of 16 were won from pole and 12 of 16 from the front row. The previous edition, the 2025 Singapore Grand Prix, went to George Russell from P1. Antonelli has not won here in our archive.
What the move does not tell us
The price path records trading, not a reason. PropSports stores what the market showed and when; it does not attach a cause to a move, and neither does this story. No team, driver or official statement is reported here.
The weekend itself starts to answer the question the market is trading on. Qualifying is the first classification of the weekend, and the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix page and PBEcast follow every session.
Follow the weekend
The 2026 championship standings page has the full table, the form guide has recent results for every driver, and F1 Intelligence sets out the DNA view of the grid.
Evidence & methodology
Every number and name in this story comes from a frozen fact packet built from the PropSports F1 data plane. The draft passed the factual gate (no unsupported numbers, names, causes or outcomes) and the editorial gate before publication.
Limits
- Prices are Kalshi mid-market quotes for a contract that pays $1 if the driver wins the main race, as observed and stored by the PropSports markets lane. First observation is when our lane first read the contract, not when the market opened.
- This story reports how the price moved; it does not say why. Prediction-market prices are not PropBetEdge picks or forecasts.
Facts used (28)
- Event: 2026 Singapore Grand Prix (projection: events)
- Race date (venue-local calendar day): 11 October 2026 (projection: sessions)
- Qualifying date (venue-local calendar day): 10 October 2026 (projection: sessions)
- Kimi Antonelli contract price at first observation (mid-market): 15¢ (market-tape/1: Kalshi KXF1RACE-SIN26 (PropSports markets lane))
- First observation of this contract: 6 October at 20:19 UTC (market-tape/1: Kalshi KXF1RACE-SIN26 (PropSports markets lane))
- Kimi Antonelli contract price at the latest observation (mid-market): 23.5¢ (market-tape/1: Kalshi KXF1RACE-SIN26 (PropSports markets lane))
- Latest observation used in this story: 8 October at 01:07 UTC (market-tape/1: Kalshi KXF1RACE-SIN26 (PropSports markets lane))
- Move since first observation (up): 8.5¢ (derived: latest minus first from mv_first, mv_now)
- Materiality threshold for a market story (absolute move): 8¢ (PropBetEdge newsroom rule)
- Minimum span of our own observations behind a market story: 24 hours (PropBetEdge newsroom rule)
- Rank of the contract by latest price: the second-highest price in the field (market-tape/1: Kalshi KXF1RACE-SIN26 (PropSports markets lane))
- Max Verstappen contract price at the latest observation: 30.5¢ (market-tape/1: Kalshi KXF1RACE-SIN26 (PropSports markets lane))
- Lewis Hamilton contract price at the latest observation: 14¢ (market-tape/1: Kalshi KXF1RACE-SIN26 (PropSports markets lane))
- Charles Leclerc contract price at the latest observation: 11.5¢ (market-tape/1: Kalshi KXF1RACE-SIN26 (PropSports markets lane))
- Lando Norris contract price at the latest observation: 11¢ (market-tape/1: Kalshi KXF1RACE-SIN26 (PropSports markets lane))
- Leader points before this round: 320 points (projection: standings progression)
- George Russell deficit to the leader: 84 points (derived: difference from leader_points, c2_points)
- Rounds remaining including this one: 7 rounds (projection: events)
- Most points one driver can still score: 183 points (derived: rounds × race maximum + sprints × sprint maximum from rounds_left, sprints_left, race_max)
- Form window: the five races before this one (projection: events)
- Kimi Antonelli points in the form window: 101 points (derived: race classification)
- Kimi Antonelli form-window finishes, oldest first: P2, P1, P1, P5, P2 (derived: race classification)
- Kimi Antonelli wins in the form window: two wins (derived: race classification)
- Kimi Antonelli podiums in the form window: four podiums (derived: race classification)
- Grands Prix held here before this one (our archive): 16 previous Grands Prix (derived: our race archive)
- Earlier races here won from pole: 11 of 16 (derived: our race archive)
- Earlier races here won from the front row: 12 of 16 (derived: our race archive)
- Winner's grid slot in 2025: P1 (derived: our race archive)